Daily Real Estate News | March 7, 2008
Low-Cost Kitchen Updates
Sellers whose kitchens are old and outdated, but who don’t want to spend money gutting and remodeling, should consider these tips from interior designers for updating inexpensively.
The most recent data indicates that, yes, foreclosures rose again in the 4th quarter of 2007. A number of government agencies are trying to help reverse this trend. There are several policies proposed and some already being implemented to address rising foreclosures. But nearly all are attempting to alleviate the problem from the “bottom up,” rather than from the “top down.” The bottom-up approaches involve a work-out plan of current problematic loans. Let’s look at several of them.
The challenge is unleashing this pent-up demand into the marketplace. Consumer pessimism is pervasive. The raising of the loan limit on FHA and Fannie/Freddie backed loans will likely help unleash some of this demand as more households will have access to lower interest rate loans. And while lower home prices can also work to bring buyers to the market, they are no guarantee because lower prices can also add to excessive pessimism and consequently hold off buyers. So, what do I think we should do? What is critically needed at this important point in the housing cycle is a measure to assuredly and quickly raise home buying activity. This can be accomplished by providing a home buyer tax-credit. A nationwide $5,000 tax credit (the same amount currently in existence for home buyers in Washington, D.C.) would cost the federal government $40 billion. Factoring in rising economic activity and accompanying rising tax revenue, the true cost could be minimal or even positively favorable. A reversal in the weakness in the housing market, which has been subtracting about one percentage point off GDP growth, can add $40 billion to the U.S. Treasury – essentially offsetting the cost of the tax credit. If the initial $40 billion cost is hard to swallow, how about a more targeted tax credit for only first-time home buyers? That would cost the government about $15 billion.
The ongoing subprime loan mess and related foreclosure problems are due to past lending mistakes. Current home buyers fortunately are not exposed to these “errors in judgment.” And these fresh buyers will also help save the day for existing homeowners who are either defaulting or facing foreclosure. Rising demand lifts all boats. There is a wide selection of safe mortgage products for today’s home buyers. Combine those safe mortgages with a home buyer tax-credit and we have the makings of a solid housing market recovery. Because housing nearly always leads the economy, a solid economic recovery will not be far behind.
The strong home price appreciation that the housing market experienced from 2000 through 2006 was great for homeowners. Increases in home values helped those households build equity and wealth. However, that price appreciation had a downside as well. It made achieving homeownership much more difficult for first-time buyers and those potential buyers with less-than-perfect credit, particularly when mortgage rates began to rise from historic lows in mid-2005. As rates increased, average monthly payments also rose. The consequence was that home sales fell as fewer people could afford to buy. Additionally, beginning in mid-2007, many homeowners who had taken out adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs) to finance their purchases made after mid-2005 could not refinance. Stagnant or declining prices reduced or eliminated the equity in their home. Unable to refinance, households were faced with making monthly mortgage payments that they could no longer afford. The impact of this trend was particularly harsh on the sub-prime market as funding in this sector evaporated after July of 2007. Default and foreclosure rates increased as a result. Some Relief in SightThe good news is that there is some relief on the way. One month ago, Congress passed and the President signed an important stimulus package that goes far beyond the well-publicized $600 tax rebate check. The package includes a provision that will temporarily increase FHA lending limits and the limits on loans that the GSEs can buy.Prior to 2008, the FHA could only loan up to a maximum of $362,790 for a home in the highest priced markets; most markets had lower limits. Under the new provisions, that limits jumps to as much as $729,500 depending on the local median home price. Based on 2007 mortgage data, NAR Research estimates that more than 140,000 homes in this price category were purchased using sub-prime loans.FHA vs. SubprimeFHA loans compete with sub-prime loans for borrowers with lower credit standards. However, the FHA has a longer history of lending and has government support, so borrowers receive mortgages rates that are 3.0 percent lower on average than those of subprime loan. In addition, these FHA loans require inspections; users of the FHA program know about issues with their home up front and so can budget accordingly. In short, FHA loans cost home buyers less up front and allow them to budget their long-term expenses more accurately. Finally, FHA has programs in place to keep owners out of foreclosure if they become delinquent – a lesson the private, subprime sector is currently learning. FHA and Housing DemandBecause FHA loans are considered safe, the increased FHA limits will help stimulate housing demand from buyers with less-than-perfect credit. That in turn will help to support prices, enabling owners facing re-setting of their mortgage-interest rates to refinance into more affordable loans. This will further undercut the precarious position of housing markets with large concentrations of sub-prime ARM loans.Increased GSE Loan LimitsEqually important are the effects that increased GSE limits will bring. The GSEs, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac among others, buy up loans, repackage them, and sell them in the secondary market. The GSEs’ loose relationship with the government is viewed by buyers of mortgage backed securities as insurance – that the risk on these mortgages is much lower than that on mortgages not backed by the Federal government or the GSEs. The subprime meltdown last summer caused the spread between conforming mortgages rates, those at or below $417,000 that by law could be backed by the GSEs, and jumbo rates to surge nearly a full percentage point. This increase knocked many would-be buyers out of affordability. The difference between 6% and 7 percent is magnified on a monthly payment as the home’s value increases. Now that the GSEs can buy loans above $417,000 up to $729,750, mortgage rates on non-GSE backed loans will likely come down as well. This change will help to boost demand in the volatile, high-priced markets on the east and west coasts.Impact on MarketsNearly every county in the county will benefit from this change. Of the 3,190 counties in the United States, 100 will see an increase of 100 percent or more in their FHA loan limit. An additional 3,070 counties will receive an increase of 30 percent or more in their FHA loan limits. Many of the high-priced markets on the east and west coast will experience sharp increases in FHA limits. On average, counties in California will experience an increase of $185,361, with many counties in Los Angeles, San Diego, and San Francisco receiving more. Lower priced areas in the central valley that are experiencing sharp foreclosures – including Modesto, Sacramento, and Stockton – will also experience significant boosts. Washington, D.C., New York City, Boston, and Chicago are just a few of metro areas that will experience sharp increases in both FHA and GSE limits. However, it’s not just large metros and suburban areas that will benefit. There are many smaller markets that will feel the positive effects of increased loan limits. Some smaller, coastal counties in New Jersey, North Carolina, and Virginia as well as Nantucket have received substantial increases in their loan limits. Other areas have received sizable increases such as popular counties in Colorado outside of Denver and Boulder as well as Lancaster, Ohio and recent boom markets like Wasatch, Utah.Finally...The new FHA loan limits combined with the new GSE loan limits will go far to re-vitalize demand in today’s sagging housing market. More importantly, these changes will help to strengthen confidence, the fabric of the industry’s damaged mortgage market, and it will do so at the local level
So I had to locate the owners in another city and mail them their new keys. Ironically, that family later listed their home with me — after all, I had the keys already!
— Shar Benson, broker/owner, CRS®, GRI, Roosevelt, UtahReturn to TopOut the WindowIn the 1970's, there was a group of investors who I would load up in the van about once a month and then we’d spend the day touring low-priced foreclosed homes. At the end of the day, each would give me his list and I would prepare the offers to purchase.But on one such day, the last property we visited was missing the key in the lockbox. In those days it wasn't uncommon for an agent to remove a key and keep it if their buyer showed interest in a property. Since foreclosures are vacant homes, I looked for an alternative entry and found the window on the front porch unlocked. So we all climbed in and toured the house, which seemed to be under renovation. I was the last to exit, only to meet a football-player sized man as I climbed out the window. He did not look amused either. Apparently he had purchased his mother's property out of foreclosure, and he didn’t understand why real estate practitioners were climbing out his window. — Lana McDaniel, Realty Executives Classic, Shawnee, Kan.
Would you like information on the local school system?
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Georgia School Report Cards: http://reportcard.gppf.org/desktopdefault.aspx
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